Manufacturing Jobs and China

It is not uncommon to hear the claim that U.S. manufacturing jobs are disappearing to China. The facts don't support this. U.S. manufacturing is at an all-time high, and 2008 should see growth in manufacturing exports because of the weaker dollar, which makes our products cheaper overseas. It is true that manufacturing employment has been declining. This is largely due to gains in productivity and automation, not trade. The decline in manufacturing tracks with growth in the service sector, as the American economy has undergone a shift. Of all unemployment reported in the United States, only 3% is trade-related. What is important is that we do a good job of helping those 3%, which is why WCIT supports expanded Trade Adjustment Assistance.

WCIT Policy Advocacy on China

WCIT recognizes that the U.S.-China relationship is challenging. When we discuss China policy with the Washington State Congressional delegation, we ask Members to keep the long-term relationship in mind, and the many benefits that our state receives from our engagement with China.

We fully support legislation that promotes greater U.S. competitiveness, cultural and educational exchange.

WCIT does not support specific legislative action to address currency valuation problems. The Department of Treasury is specifically mandated to handle this very complicated kind of issue.

 

China Trade Headlines


U.S., China to Discuss New Support for Free TradeAdobe pdf document
AFP, July 28, 2009

U.S., China Vow Closer Ties to Lead Global RecoveryAdobe pdf document
Reuters, July 28, 2009

Strengthen U.S. - China Trade TiesAdobe pdf document
Chen Deming, Wall Street Journal, April 27, 2009

World Bank: China's Recovery Could Start This YearAdobe pdf document
The Washington Post, April 7, 2009

The Financial Crisis Changes the China-U.S. RelationshipAdobe pdf document
Paul Krugman, Seattle Times,
April 4, 2009

China FlagUS Flag

 

 

 

 

 

China - A Beneficial Trade Partner for Washington State

 

U.S.-China Working Group

 

The Washington Council on International Trade supports the U.S.-China Market Engagement and Export Promotion Act : Four bills to secure America’s economic future

China is on the rise—and is rising fast.  It is the second largest economy in the world when measured by domestic purchasing power parity, and while the U.S. private sector long ago understood the gravity of China’s growth, our public sector lags behind.

The trade deficit with China continues to grow—but what are we doing to help our small and medium sized businesses export more goods and services to the China market?  We need innovative programs that support our small business exports and arm them with the tools they need to succeed in China.

The Washington Council on International Relations supports the U.S.-China Competitiveness Agenda—four critical pieces of legislation to expand our diplomatic infrastructure in China, increase our support for small and medium sized businesses, boost domestic Chinese language programs and dramatically expand U.S.-China energy cooperation.

  1. H.R. 2310: The U.S.- China Market Engagement and Export Promotion Act

    Key Highlights:

    • Helps states establish and operate offices in China to promote exports.
    • Creates a program establishing China Market Advocate Positions in US Export Assistance Centers around the country.
    • Provides assistance to small businesses for Trade Missions to China.
    • Authorizes SBA grants for Chinese business education programs.


  2. H.R. 2311: The U.S.-China Diplomatic Expansion Act

    Key Highlights:

    • Increased funding for public diplomacy with an emphasis on Internet communications
    • Provides funds to build another consulate and establish 10 American presence posts
    • Increased funding for State Department student exchange programs
    • Increased funding for State Department teacher exchange programs
    • Increased funding for Rule of Law Initiatives
    • Increased funding for Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation


  3. H.R. 2312: The U.S.-China Energy Cooperation Act

    Key Highlights:

    • Authorizes a grant program to encourage joint American-Chinese research and development and policy education.
    • Grants will fund joint energy and climate change policy education programs and/or joint research, development, or commercialization of carbon capture and sequestration technology, improved energy efficiency, or renewable energy sources.
    • Entities eligible for grant funding are joint ventures comprised of both Chinese and American private business entities, joint ventures comprised of both Chinese and American academics or joint ventures comprised of Chinese and American Federal, State, or local governments.


  4. H.R. 2313: The U.S.-Chinese Language Engagement Act

    Key Highlights:

    • Increases Chinese cultural studies and language acquisition for American students through Local Education Agencies (LEAs).
    • Supports collaborative efforts between LEAs and institutions of higher education and exchanges with academic institutions in China.
    • Develops programs that include intensive summer Chinese language instruction, connecting Chinese and English Speakers and cultural studies.

 

U.S. - China Trade

 

Quick Facts

Every Washington Congressional District Benefits from Trade with China

In every Washington State congressional district, exports to China grew by over 300 percent. The top five export categories were transportation equipment ($6.4 billion), crop production ($2.0 billion), computers and electronics ($292 million), waste and scrap ($223 million), and processed foods ($161 million). Transportation equipment represented 66.57 percent and crop production represented 20.39 percent of total exports to China for 2007.

Washington's Congressional District Exports to China ($ million)*
District2000200120022003200420052006 2007 2008 % Change 00-07
1st District $1,052 $1,479 $2,096 $1,330 $1,174 $2,268 $3,309 $4,437 $3,295 213%
2nd District $1,242 $1,759 $2,484 $1,614 $1,437 $2,722 $3,946 $5,323 $4,108 231$
3rd District $156 $226 $315 $219 $201 $360 $512 $701 $601 285%
4th District $201 $437 $492 $764 $792 $902 $1,043 $1,792 $3,071 1427%
5th District $104 $190 $234 $273 $272 $354 $440 $700 $998 856%
6th District $127 $182 $255 $172 $156 $287 $411 $558 $459 261%
7th District $641 $901 $1,278 $808 $712 $1,380 $2,015 $2,700 $1,992 211%
8th District $728 $1,024 $1,451 $922 $815 $1,571 $2,291 $3,074 $2,289 215%
9th District $746 $1,052 $1,489 $955 $847 $1,621 $2,357 $3,170 $2,399 222%

Source: The US-China Business Council

* This study uses county-level export data to provide estimates of congressional district exports to China. Because some congressional districts include parts of the same counties, and because the county export data cannot be apportioned to the separate districts, the total of a state's estimated individual congressional district exports in this study may exceed the state's actual total exports to China.

Looking at the trade statistics, it's easy to make the case that China is an important trading partner for Washington State. Clearly our businesses are benefiting from doing business with their Chinese counterparts. With China's population of 1.3 billion and rapidly growing purchasing power, that is a trend that is likely to continue well into the future.

That is not to say that there are not challenges and concerns with the relationship. U.S. companies face problems with market access, a cumbersome regulatory environment, and numerous trade restrictions. Corruption and intellectual property theft are endemic throughout China. And the Chinese have moved slowly to address the problems with the undervaluation of their currency.

Because of the size of the Chinese economy and the rapid increase of the volume of bilateral trade between the United States and China, the problems in our trade relationship have created fears among some about the inability to compete and loss of jobs due to cheap Chinese labor. In the U.S. congress, bills and amendments are constantly being proposed that try to address specific elements of these problems. These are legitimate concerns, and they need to be addressed. But it is important to look at addressing our problems in the context of the overall relationship.

Washington's Top 5 Export Countries ($ millions)
RankTrade Partner
Country
20062007% Change 06-07
 Total53,07466,25824.84
1China6,8289,60940.72
2Japan6,7087,71515
3Canada6,2057,58822.28
4India1,0615,775444.19
5South Korea2,4942,99019.88

Source: The US-China Business Council

Currency Undervaluation: It is important that the U.S. government keep the pressure on the Chinese government to bring its currency in line. But progress is being made. Since the Chinese switched from a peg to the U.S dollar to a basket of currencies in July 2005, the renminbi has appreciated almost 20%.

While upward pressure should continue, this appreciation has to take place gradually. The government shouldn't risk causing instability within the financial markets. China, like much of the world has experienced a high rate of inflation this year, which means their goods are more expensive. With the weak U.S. dollar, many importers are suddenly facing much higher costs for their products. If the Chinese were to appreciate their currency, this would add to these costs. That would mean that the trip you take with your kids to get clothes or school supplies would cost a lot more. So in the end, it's you, the American consumer that ends up paying these costs.

Congress, including our Washington delegation, is being lobbied by some to place punitive tariffs on all goods coming in from China because of the currency valuation issue. A tariff would mean that each good coming into the United States would cost more, as much or most of the cost of this would be passed on to the consumer. So maybe for awhile the notebooks that you buy at Wal-Mart would come from Indonesia or your new jeans from the Gap would come from Vietnam..but they would eventually be more expensive too because other countries couldn't handle the capacity long-term of this kind of disruption from an established supply chain. Most likely, your stuff would still come from China, you'd just pay the higher price. Again, this works out so it's the American consumers who pay the tariffs.

Washington's Top 5 Exports to China ($ millions)
RankCommodity20062007% Change 06-07
 Total6,8289,60940.72
1Transportation
Equipment
4,8176,39632.77
2Crop Production1,0241,95991.23
3Computer and
Electronics
17129169.59
4Waste and Scrap263223-15.31
5Processed Foods10716049.03

Source: The US-China Business Council

The Strategic Economic Dialogue

So what do we do? We continue to work on resolving these problems thru the U.S. China Strategic Economic Dialogue (SED). In 2006, President Bush and President Hu of China recognized that the fast growth of the bilateral relationship would create these kinds of problems. They agreed that a regular, high-level dialogue was necessary to keep working through difficult issues - as well as collaborate on long-term strategic issues to develop mutually beneficial initiatives (such as green energy cooperation) and avoid future conflicts. The SED meets twice a year - once in Washington, D.C., once in Beijing, to discuss economic and other strategic issues. The U.S. side of this meeting is Chaired by the Treasury Secretary. Participants include the National Economic Advisor, U.S. Trade Representative, Head of the Environmental Protection Agency, and Secretaries of Commerce and Energy, and their Chinese counterparts.

Upcoming Events

"U.S. Congress and China Trade Policy: Perceptions and Realities"

A Roundtable with Congressman Jim McDermott

Full Calendar.

Important Materials

"Debating US-China Trade Policy"

by Stephen S. Roach

"China's Trade with the United States and the World"

Congressional Research Service Report for Congress (pdf)

"Seven Myths about US-China Trade and Invesment"

The US-China Business Council (pdf)